IPO / Public Markets

IPO Market Reopens: 34 Companies File to Go Public as AI Giants Lead $165B Wave

DeepSeek's $74 billion valuation and Moonshot AI's parallel Hong Kong IPO signal sustained appetite for frontier tech exits

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Thirty-four IPO announcements in seven days. China claims nearly half. Valuations top $100 billion for software companies. The public markets are functioning again—and for the first time in months, founders with mega-valuations have somewhere to go.

This week's IPO surge matters for a specific reason: it resets the endgame for venture capital. When exits dry up, mega-funds recycle capital back to LPs without generating returns. When exits reopen, the entire venture flywheel accelerates. What we're seeing now is the first sustained momentum in public listings since Q1 2026.

Largest IPO Filings (Last 7 Days)

Source: InforCapital deal tracker, July 18-24 2026

China's AI IPO Gold Rush

DeepSeek's $74 billion planned valuation anchors an extraordinary wave of Chinese tech listings. The AI reasoning startup is reportedly preparing an onshore IPO that would rank among the largest public debuts ever for a software company. That's not hyperbole—it's execution.

But DeepSeek is not alone. Moonshot AI, another frontier model developer, is simultaneously preparing parallel IPOs: a $50 billion pre-IPO round feeding directly into Hong Kong's exchange, plus a separate $30 billion Hong Kong IPO filing. CXMT, a Chinese semiconductor maker, raised $8.5 billion in its own recent listing. Across seven days, five Chinese tech companies filed or priced IPOs worth $160+ billion combined.

Why China dominates this week's pipeline tells us something critical about global capital markets right now. Hong Kong and Shanghai have reopened to strategic tech listings. Beijing is waving through frontier AI companies—the sector it views as essential to national competitiveness. Chinese venture investors have been parking mega-funds with few exits for 18+ months. An open IPO window is catnip.

For comparison, the US saw exactly four IPO filings in the same seven-day window. Reformation (apparel, $239 million), Jersey Mike's (QSR, $1.25 billion), and a handful of smaller entrants. The gap reveals a market bifurcation: China is deploying capital at venture scale through IPOs; the US is taking a measured, selective approach.

AI Mega-Valuations Meet Public Market Reality

Here's the uncomfortable truth that DeepSeek and Moonshot embody: venture-backed AI companies now command valuations that rival public tech giants. A $74 billion valuation for a two-year-old AI company would have been unthinkable five years ago. Today, it's the asking price for a frontier model developer with institutional backing.

But here's the catch: the public markets price value differently than private markets. Private investors pay for optionality and growth potential. Public markets pay for cash flow, unit economics, and defensible competitive advantage. When a venture-backed mega-company goes public at a mega-valuation, the road to profitability often comes into focus sharply.

For DeepSeek specifically, the risks are clear. The startup has raised billions from Alibaba, Baidu, and other Chinese tech giants, but path to profitability remains unclear. Like OpenAI before its rumored IPO attempts, the business model—inference APIs, enterprise licensing, or consumer products—will be scrutinized by public market investors who have seen AI margin compression firsthand.

This week also saw Revolut confirm a secondary share sale at a reported $115 billion valuation. Revolut, a London-based fintech startup, is not going public yet—the secondary is liquidity for existing shareholders. But the valuation signal is unmissable: venture-scale fintechs are commanding public-market-sized valuations in private markets, and secondary buyers are willing to pay for that option.

IPO Pipeline by Geography

Source: InforCapital deal tracker, July 18-24 2026

US Market: Selective, Not Closed

The US did not vanish from the IPO calendar this week. But the selectivity is pronounced. Consumer companies like Jersey Mike's and Reformation are testing the market with traditional retail IPOs. InMobi, an Indian ad-tech unicorn, filed a $1 billion IPO with four underwriters. AirTel Africa's AirTel Money is heading for a London listing.

What's absent from the US pipeline: mega-valuations. No $50 billion filings. No $100 billion moonshots. The US venture market is, by contrast, exhibiting disciplined restraint. Mega-rounds in AI infrastructure continue—Anthropic's $5 billion from Amazon, Alphabet's $80 billion capex commitment—but the exit mechanism remains private secondary markets and strategic M&A, not IPOs.

This divergence is strategic, not accidental. US regulators favor proven profitability and clear paths to returns. Chinese regulators are more willing to prioritize national tech champions and domestic capital deployment. The result: valuations can run higher in China, secondary liquidity can materialize faster, and mega-funds can rotate capital more efficiently.

IPO Filings by Sector

Source: InforCapital deal tracker, July 18-24 2026

What This Wave Signals for H2 2026

The 34 IPO announcements this week represent a market inflection, not a sustained trend. A single week of activity should not be mistaken for a permanently reopened exit market. But several trends are directional and worth monitoring.

First, the secondary markets are clearing. Revolut's $115 billion valuation on secondary shares means mega-companies are finding liquidity without IPOs. This is the path for most US mega-startups over the next 12 months: private secondary rounds to generate founder and investor liquidity, not public listings. The IPO window for mega-companies remains narrow and selective.

Second, China's IPO appetite is now decoupled from US sentiment. Hong Kong and Shanghai will process listings at scale throughout H2 2026, regardless of US market conditions. Venture investors with capital in Chinese tech should expect exits. This is material for LP returns and fund recycling across Chinese VC.

Third, semiconductors are back as IPO-worthy assets. CXMT's $8.5 billion debut reflects institutional awareness that semiconductor supply constraints are real and structural. AI chip makers and DRAM producers will see IPO interest globally for the next 18 months as capital races to de-risk the compute supply chain.

For founders: the message is geographic arbitrage. A $50 billion valuation in China may be achievable for a frontier AI model. A $20 billion valuation in the US requires 10x the proof of product-market fit and business stability. Mega-companies are choosing Asia for exits and US private secondaries for founder liquidity. Both paths are now functioning.

Alvaro de la Maza Alba
Alvaro de la Maza Alba

Founding Partner at Aninver Development Partners

IESE Business School alumnus with over 15 years advising development finance institutions, governments, and multilateral organizations. Specialized in private capital, infrastructure, and venture capital markets across 50+ countries.